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Home England Premier League Newcastle — Manchester United

Predictions Newcastle vs Manchester United March 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Newcastle
Newcastle
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Wed 04 Mar · 20:15
2:1
Full-time
Manchester United
Manchester United
W W D W W Away · last 5
St. James' Park · Newcastle upon Tyne Referee Peter Bankes, England
Home Win · NEW
30%
Best 2.61
Draw
24%
Best 3.60
Away Win · MUN
45%
Best 2.54
Model pick
BTTS No
@ 2.76
Fair odds
2.77
book 2.76 · no edge vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 36%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 30.4%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 40.4%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 59.6%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17.3%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.7%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 30.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.