P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Guimaraes — Rio Ave

Predictions Guimaraes vs Rio Ave April 25, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 19:30
2:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal
Home Win · GUI
58%
Best 1.81
Draw
26%
Best 3.70
Away Win · RIO
16%
Best 5.00
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.94
Fair odds
1.77
book 1.94 · +9.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 56% · EV +9.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 16.3%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.4%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.8%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.3%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 16.3%
Odds 3.02
Show model details
Implied probability 33.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 41.9%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
GUI – RIO @ 1.94
+9.4%
Edge
Forecast →