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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Sporting CP — Benfica

Predictions by Market: Sporting CP vs Benfica

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 17:15
1:2
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SPO
53%
Best 2.06
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · BEN
22%
Best 3.38
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 1.37
Fair odds
1.28
book 1.37 · +6.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 78% · EV +6.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.87
Show model details
Implied probability 34.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.3%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.6%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.7%
Odds 13.50
Show model details
Implied probability 7.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 22.1%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
SPO – BEN @ 1.37
+6.8%
Edge
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