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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — AVS

Match Rio Ave vs AVS April 17, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Fri 17 Apr · 19:45
2:2
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.92
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.98
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.74
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.36 – 1.57
Δ +0.79
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.98 — +12.9% better than the market.

Rio Ave enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record that could stifle AVS's attack. Despite AVS's slightly better recent form, Rio Ave's home edge and superior overall quality suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle with Rio Ave's compact block limiting chances and a cautious pace hinted by balanced over/under odds.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
  • Rio Ave's recent winning streak at home
  • Moderate goal environment with a pressing edge for Rio Ave

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.98 ✗ Lost
AI 57% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

RIO 4-2-3-1 · AVS 4-3-3
Subs used · RIO
64' Monteiro ↑ · Guilherme
74' Papakanellos ↑ · Spikic
85' Nikitscher ↑ · Pohlmann
85' Lobato ↑ · Bezerra
Subs used · AVS
64' Kiki ↑ · Perea
64' Neiva ↑ · Rivas
86' Algobia ↑ · Mendonca
90+1' Nene ↑ · Tomane
90+1' Duarte ↑ · Akinsola

📊 Statistics

RIO 22 AVS
66%
Possession (%)
34%
2.36
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.57
20
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
7
7
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
9
3
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
11
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

16 · 2 – 2
O. Pohlmann
Assist · Diogo Bezerra · 1–0
18'
32'
Tomane
1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
T. Monteiro ↓ · Ryan Guilherme ↑
Substitution 1
64'
64'
Kiki ↓ · O. Perea ↑
Substitution 1
64'
G. Neiva ↓ · D. Rivas ↑
Substitution 2
Andreas Ndoj
Yellow Card
66'
68'
Pedro Lima
Assist · G. Neiva · 1–2
A. Papakanellos ↓ · D. Spikic ↑
Substitution 2
74'
A. Ntoi
2–2
79'
T. Nikitscher ↓ · O. Pohlmann ↑
Substitution 3
85'
Rafael Lobato ↓ · Diogo Bezerra ↑
Substitution 4
85'
86'
A. Algobia ↓ · G. Mendonca ↑
Substitution 3
90'
Tomane
Yellow Card
90+1'
Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
D. Duarte ↓ · T. Akinsola ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Paulo Vitor
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.92 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.98 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.74 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.19 38% Cashed +1.19 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 43% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.98 40% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.54 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.50 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 86% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.31 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 88% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.01 23% Cashed +3.01 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 65% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Away Win 5.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 21% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.55 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.08u +0% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
RIO – AVS @ 1.98
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →