Match Rio Ave vs AVS April 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.98 — +12.9% better than the market.

Rio Ave enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record that could stifle AVS's attack. Despite AVS's slightly better recent form, Rio Ave's home edge and superior overall quality suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle with Rio Ave's compact block limiting chances and a cautious pace hinted by balanced over/under odds.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Rio Ave's recent winning streak at home
Moderate goal environment with a pressing edge for Rio Ave

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.98 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RIO 4-2-3-1 · AVS 4-3-3

RIO · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · AVS

11 Blesa

Subs used · RIO

64'

Monteiro ↑ ·

Guilherme ↓

74'

Papakanellos ↑ ·

Spikic ↓

85'

Nikitscher ↑ ·

Pohlmann ↓

85'

Lobato ↑ ·

Bezerra ↓

Subs used · AVS

64'

Kiki ↑ ·

Perea ↓

64'

Neiva ↑ ·

Rivas ↓

86'

Algobia ↑ ·

Mendonca ↓

90+1'

Nene ↑ ·

Tomane ↓

90+1'

Duarte ↑ ·

Akinsola ↓

📊 Statistics

RIO 2 – 2 AVS

66%

Possession (%)

34%

2.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.57

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 2

O. Pohlmann

Assist · Diogo Bezerra · 1–0

⚽

18'

32'

⚽

Tomane

1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

T. Monteiro ↓ · Ryan Guilherme ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

⇄

Kiki ↓ · O. Perea ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

G. Neiva ↓ · D. Rivas ↑

Substitution 2

Andreas Ndoj

Yellow Card

▮

66'

68'

⚽

Pedro Lima

Assist · G. Neiva · 1–2

A. Papakanellos ↓ · D. Spikic ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

A. Ntoi

2–2

⚽

79'

T. Nikitscher ↓ · O. Pohlmann ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

Rafael Lobato ↓ · Diogo Bezerra ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

86'

⇄

A. Algobia ↓ · G. Mendonca ↑

Substitution 3

90'

▮

Tomane

Yellow Card

90+1'

⇄

Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑

Substitution 4

90+1'

⇄

D. Duarte ↓ · T. Akinsola ↑

Substitution 5

90+3'

▮

Paulo Vitor

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Rio Ave and AVS drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.36 to 1.57. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 13, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: O. Pohlmann (18'), Tomane (32'), Pedro Lima (68'), A. Ntoi (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.08 units (Brier 0.278).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.98	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.74	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.19	—	38%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	43%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.98	—	40%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.54	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	86%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.31	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	88%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.01	—	23%	Cashed	+3.01	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	65%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Away Win	5.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	21%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.55	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.08u	+0% ROI