AVS vs Guimaraes 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.90 — +12.6% better than the market.

Guimaraes arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they control the game's rhythm. AVS's defensive struggles and limited home momentum make it tough to contain Guimaraes' sharper attack. Expect a tactical battle where Guimaraes' pressing and offensive efficiency could exploit AVS's vulnerabilities.

Guimaraes' superior quality and form advantage
AVS's defensive frailty at home
Moderate pace hinting at a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.90 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 53% +0.90u

+90%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AVS 4-3-3 · GUI 4-3-3

AVS · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · GUI

25 Green

Subs used · AVS

46'

Perea ↑ ·

Green ↓

69'

Kiki ↑ ·

Rivas ↓

82'

Duarte ↑ ·

Tomane ↓

82'

Algobia ↑ ·

Lima ↓

85'

Neiva ↑ ·

Akinsola ↓

Subs used · GUI

56'

Sousa ↑ ·

Nogueira ↓

56'

Saviolo ↑ ·

Camara ↓

70'

Oliveira ↑ ·

Gustavo ↓

70'

Arcanjo ↑ ·

Nogueira ↓

Statistics

AVS 1 – 1 GUI

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.96

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.62

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 1 – 1

Simão

Yellow Card

▮

-5'

24'

⚽

Gustavo

Assist · Samu · 0–1

Tomane

Assist · Adriel · 1–1

⚽

27'

31'

▮

Thiago Balieiro

Yellow Card

Andre Green

Yellow Card

▮

37'

Half-time · 1 – 1

O. Perea ↓ · A. Green ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

56'

⇄

D. Sousa ↓ · G. Nogueira ↑

Substitution 1

56'

⇄

N. Saviolo ↓ · O. Camara ↑

Substitution 2

Leonardo Rivas

Yellow Card

▮

65'

Kiki ↓ · D. Rivas ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

70'

⇄

N. Oliveira ↓ · Gustavo ↑

Substitution 3

70'

⇄

T. Arcanjo ↓ · M. Nogueira ↑

Substitution 4

D. Duarte ↓ · Tomane ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

82'

A. Algobia ↓ · Pedro Lima ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

G. Neiva ↓ · T. Akinsola ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Gustavo Mendonca

Yellow Card

▮

90+1'

Cristian Castro

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

AVS and Guimaraes drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.62 to 0.96. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Gustavo (24'), Tomane (27').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.10 units (Brier 0.183).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.90	—	59%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Away Win	1.77	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.96	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.96	—	44%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.20	—	38%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.00	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.55	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	79%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.19	—	86%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.26	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	89%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.92	—	24%	Cashed	+2.92	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	66%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Home Win	5.25	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.78	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.10u	−12% ROI

AVS vs Guimaraes 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled