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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Tondela — GIL Vicente

Tondela vs GIL Vicente 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Tondela
Tondela
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Mon 13 Apr · 19:15
2:2
Full-time
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
L W D L L Away · last 5
Estádio João Cardoso · Tondela Referee Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 56% · book 2.03 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.80 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.66 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.73 – 1.67
Δ +0.06
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.03 — +13.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 2.03 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TON 4-3-3 · VIC 4-4-2
TON · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · VIC 31 Fontes 2 Bebeto 44 Silva 4 Marques 27 Conceição 10 Hodge ⚽ 32 Rodríguez 79 Félix 7 Maranhão 16 Lopes ⚽ 70 Moudjatovic 99 Figueira 2 Carlos 48 Espigares 39 Buatu 3 Konan 77 Souza ⚽ 5 Cáseres 10 Esteves 27 Moreira 95 García 89 Varela
Subs used · TON
60' Sithole ↑ · Ouattara ↓
60' Aiko ↑ · Felix ↓
68' van der Heide ↑ · Maranhao ↓
74' Siebatcheu ↑ · Lopes ↓
75' Manso ↑ · Bebeto ↓
Subs used · VIC
74' Fernandez ↑ · Moreira ↓
85' Fernandes ↑ · Souza ↓
85' Eduardo ↑ · Varela ↓

Statistics

TON 2 – 2 VIC
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.73
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.67
10
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
7
7
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
11
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
6
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 2 – 2
Lucas Cañizares
Yellow Card
▮
-5'
Christian Marques
Yellow Card
▮
7'
Rony Lopes
1–0
⚽
16'
29'
⚽
Murilo de Souza (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
Moudjatovic
Yellow Card
▮
46'
57'
▮
Murilo Souza
Yellow Card
S. Sithole ↓ · M. Ouattara ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
60'
M. Aiko ↓ · H. Felix ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
A. van der Heide ↓ · Pedro Maranhao ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
J. Siebatcheu ↓ · Rony Lopes ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
74'
74'
⇄
M. Fernandez ↓ · A. Moreira ↑
Substitution 1
T. Manso ↓ · Bebeto ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
75'
João Silva
Yellow Card
▮
79'
85'
⇄
J. Fernandes ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑
Substitution 2
85'
⇄
Carlos Eduardo ↓ · G. Varela ↑
Substitution 3
90'
⚽
Carlos Eduardo
Assist · J. Fernandes · 1–2
J. Hodge
2–2
⚽
90'
Rodrigo Conceição
Yellow Card
▮
90+9'
90+9'
▮
Jonathan Buatu
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Tondela and GIL Vicente drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Rony Lopes (16'), Murilo de Souza (29'), Carlos Eduardo (90'), J. Hodge (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.75 units (Brier 0.255).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.03 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.66 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.33 — 41% Cashed +1.33 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.03 — 46% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.85 — 44% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.26 — 82% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.00 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.45 — 67% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.42 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 — 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.23 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.33 — 21% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Draw 3.40 — 26% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.95 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.12 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.75u +4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
TON – VIC @ 2.03
+13.9%
Edge
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