Match GIL Vicente vs AVS April 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.02 — +13.1% better than the market.

GIL Vicente holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed form. Their strong defensive setup should contain AVS, who struggle offensively and have a weaker overall profile. The home side's pressing and compact block could limit chances, suggesting a low-scoring game.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack struggles
Recent form favors GIL Vicente's consistency
Moderate pace expected, aligning with under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.02 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VIC 4-2-3-1 · AVS 4-3-3

VIC · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · AVS

89 Varela ⚽

Subs used · VIC

64'

Weverson ↑ ·

Konan ↓

64'

Carlos ↑ ·

Caseres ↓

76'

Fernandes ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

76'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Esteves ↓

88'

Pinto Martins ↑ ·

Souza ↓

Subs used · AVS

46'

Duarte ↑ ·

Ponck ↓

71'

Kiki ↑ ·

Green ↓

71'

Perea ↑ ·

Rivas ↓

82'

Nene ↑ ·

Tomane ↓

82'

Neiva ↑ ·

Akinsola ↓

📊 Statistics

VIC 3 – 0 AVS

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 3 – 0

G. Varela

Assist · L. Esteves · 1–0

⚽

11'

20'

▮

Tomané

Yellow Card

Murilo de Souza

2–0

⚽

34'

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

D. Duarte ↓ · Ponck ↑

Substitution 1

Antonio Espigares

Yellow Card

▮

45+2'

Weverson ↓ · G. Konan ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

Ze Carlos ↓ · F. Caseres ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

71'

⇄

Kiki ↓ · A. Green ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

O. Perea ↓ · D. Rivas ↑

Substitution 3

J. Fernandes ↓ · A. Moreira ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

M. Fernandez ↓ · L. Esteves ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

G. Varela

3–0

⚽

80'

82'

⇄

Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

G. Neiva ↓ · T. Akinsola ↑

Substitution 5

Zé Carlos

Yellow Card

▮

87'

G. Pinto Martins ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

GIL Vicente beat AVS 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.91 to 0.42. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Varela (11'), Murilo de Souza (34'), G. Varela (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.06 units (Brier 0.091).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.02	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.74	—	59%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.29	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.91	—	44%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.85	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	—	76%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Home Win	1.38	—	74%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	93%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	74%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.20	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.13	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.10	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	69%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.25	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	10.01	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.06u	−36% ROI