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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Santa Clara

Match Sporting CP vs Santa Clara April 3, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Fri 03 Apr · 19:30
4:2
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W D W L Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.88
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.46
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.04
Total goals
6
4 · 2
xG (open play)
2.66 – 0.65
Δ +2.01
Possession
71% – 29%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.88 — +10.9% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Santa Clara's defense. Their recent form shows resilience and goal-scoring prowess, while Santa Clara struggles to contain high-pressure teams. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Santa Clara's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at an open game with Sporting likely dominating possession and chances.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailties
  • Recent form favors Sporting's confidence
  • Potential for multiple goals in an open contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.88 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 53% +0.88u
+88%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · SAN 4-4-2
Subs used · SPO
46' Araujo ↑ · Goncalves
60' Simoes ↑ · Braganca
68' Hjulmand ↑ · Morita
68' Faye ↑ · Mangas
88' Goncalves ↑ · Catamo
Subs used · SAN
59' Lopes ↑ · Torrao
59' Tavares ↑ · Ferreira
71' Darlan ↑ · Klismahn
71' Brenner ↑ · Silva
77' Paciencia ↑ · Fernando

📊 Statistics

SPO 42 SAN
71%
Possession (%)
29%
2.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
22
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
3
16
Shots Inside Box
5
9
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
22
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
4
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

23 · 4 – 2
3'
Gustavo Klismahn
Assist · Fernando · 0–1
P. Goncalves (P)
Penalty · 1–1
22'
Francisco Trincão
Yellow Card
24'
D. Braganca
Assist · R. Nel · 2–1
39'
Trincao
Assist · H. Morita · 3–1
42'
44'
Pedro Ferreira
Yellow Card
Half-time · 3 – 1
M. Araujo ↓ · P. Goncalves ↑
Substitution 1
46'
59'
Vinicius Lopes ↓ · Welinton Torrao ↑
Substitution 1
59'
J. Tavares ↓ · P. Ferreira ↑
Substitution 2
J. Simoes ↓ · D. Braganca ↑
Substitution 2
60'
M. Hjulmand ↓ · H. Morita ↑
Substitution 3
68'
S. Faye ↓ · R. Mangas ↑
Substitution 4
68'
71'
Darlan ↓ · Gustavo Klismahn ↑
Substitution 3
71'
Brenner ↓ · H. Silva ↑
Substitution 4
João Simões
Yellow Card
75'
Giorgos Vagiannidis
Yellow Card
76'
77'
G. Paciencia ↓ · Fernando ↑
Substitution 5
F. Goncalves ↓ · G. Catamo ↑
Substitution 5
88'
89'
G. Paciencia
Assist · Brenner · 3–2
90'
José Tavares
Yellow Card
R. Nel
Assist · E. Quaresma · 4–2
90'
Morten Hjulmand
Yellow Card
90+7'
90+7'
Gonçalo Paciência
Yellow Card
Full-time · 4 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.88 59% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.46 45% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.04 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.10 38% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.06 95% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Home Win 1.29 77% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.58 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.02 77% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 80% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Draw 5.90 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.96 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.82 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 14.00 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 8.40 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.85u −23% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 2.5
SPO – SAN @ 1.88
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →