Match Sporting CP vs Santa Clara April 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.88 — +10.9% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against Santa Clara's defense. Their recent form shows resilience and goal-scoring prowess, while Santa Clara struggles to contain high-pressure teams. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Santa Clara's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at an open game with Sporting likely dominating possession and chances.

Home attacking pressure vs away defensive frailties
Recent form favors Sporting's confidence
Potential for multiple goals in an open contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.88 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 53% +0.88u

+88%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · SAN 4-4-2

SPO · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · SAN

90 Nel ⚽

Subs used · SPO

46'

Araujo ↑ ·

Goncalves ↓

60'

Simoes ↑ ·

Braganca ↓

68'

Hjulmand ↑ ·

Morita ↓

68'

Faye ↑ ·

Mangas ↓

88'

Goncalves ↑ ·

Catamo ↓

Subs used · SAN

59'

Lopes ↑ ·

Torrao ↓

59'

Tavares ↑ ·

Ferreira ↓

71'

Darlan ↑ ·

Klismahn ↓

71'

Brenner ↑ ·

Silva ↓

77'

Paciencia ↑ ·

Fernando ↓

📊 Statistics

SPO 4 – 2 SAN

71%

Possession (%)

29%

2.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.65

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

23 · 4 – 2

⚽

Gustavo Klismahn

Assist · Fernando · 0–1

P. Goncalves (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

22'

Francisco Trincão

Yellow Card

▮

24'

D. Braganca

Assist · R. Nel · 2–1

⚽

39'

Trincao

Assist · H. Morita · 3–1

⚽

42'

44'

▮

Pedro Ferreira

Yellow Card

Half-time · 3 – 1

M. Araujo ↓ · P. Goncalves ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

59'

⇄

Vinicius Lopes ↓ · Welinton Torrao ↑

Substitution 1

59'

⇄

J. Tavares ↓ · P. Ferreira ↑

Substitution 2

J. Simoes ↓ · D. Braganca ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

M. Hjulmand ↓ · H. Morita ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

S. Faye ↓ · R. Mangas ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

68'

71'

⇄

Darlan ↓ · Gustavo Klismahn ↑

Substitution 3

71'

⇄

Brenner ↓ · H. Silva ↑

Substitution 4

João Simões

Yellow Card

▮

75'

Giorgos Vagiannidis

Yellow Card

▮

76'

77'

⇄

G. Paciencia ↓ · Fernando ↑

Substitution 5

F. Goncalves ↓ · G. Catamo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

89'

⚽

G. Paciencia

Assist · Brenner · 3–2

90'

▮

José Tavares

Yellow Card

R. Nel

Assist · E. Quaresma · 4–2

⚽

90'

Morten Hjulmand

Yellow Card

▮

90+7'

▮

Gonçalo Paciência

Yellow Card

Full-time · 4 – 2

Match recap

Sporting CP beat Santa Clara 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.66 to 0.65. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 7, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Gustavo Klismahn (3'), P. Goncalves (22'), D. Braganca (39'), Trincao (42'), G. Paciencia (89'), R. Nel (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.85 units (Brier 0.117).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.88	—	59%	Cashed	+0.88	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.46	—	45%	Cashed	+1.46	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.04	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	38%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	95%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.29	—	77%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.58	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.02	—	77%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	80%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	5.90	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.96	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.82	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	14.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.40	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.85u	−23% ROI