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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Rio Ave — Alverca

Predictions by Market: Rio Ave vs Alverca

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 17:00
1:2
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estádio dos Arcos · Condi Town Referee Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RIO
32%
Best 2.83
Draw
26%
Best 3.20
Away Win · ALV
43%
Best 2.52
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
3.09
book 3.25 · +5.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +5.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 31.6%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.8%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 31.6%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RIO – ALV @ 3.25
+5.2%
Edge
Forecast →