P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Guimaraes — Tondela

Match Guimaraes vs Tondela April 3, 2026

Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Fri 03 Apr · 17:00
5:0
Full-time
Tondela
Tondela
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.84
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.83
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.90
Total goals
5
5 · 0
xG (open play)
2.55 – 0.06
Δ +2.49
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Guimaraes hold a clear quality edge and a solid home defensive record, which should help them control the game against Tondela. Despite a mixed recent form, Guimaraes' pressing and compact block at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques could stifle Tondela’s attack, which has struggled away. The match hints at a moderate tempo with a cautious approach, favoring a tight contest with limited goal-scoring chances.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
  • Guimaraes’ home momentum despite patchy form
  • Likely cautious pace with few clear-cut chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

GUI 4-2-3-1 · TON 4-2-3-1
Subs used · GUI
67' Sousa ↑ · Samu
67' Saviolo ↑ · Nogueira
75' Arcanjo ↑ · Gustavo
75' Maga ↑ · Strata
81' Lebedenko ↑ · I. Mendes
Subs used · TON
56' Conceicao ↑ · Maviram
56' Aiko ↑ · Maranhao
56' Ouattara ↑ · van der Heide
68' Felix ↑ · Lopes
80' Tavares ↑ · Hodge

📊 Statistics

GUI 50 TON
52%
Possession (%)
48%
2.55
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.06
12
Total Shots
3
5
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
1
3
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
17
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 5 – 0
O. Camara
Assist · G. Nogueira · 1–0
5'
M. Nogueira
Assist · O. Camara · 2–0
18'
Half-time · 2 – 0
47'
Brayan Medina
Yellow Card
Samu (P)
Penalty · 3–0
51'
Gustavo
4–0
55'
56'
R. Conceicao ↓ · E. Maviram ↑
Substitution 1
56'
M. Aiko ↓ · Pedro Maranhao ↑
Substitution 2
56'
M. Ouattara ↓ · A. van der Heide ↑
Substitution 3
J. I. Mendes (P)
Penalty · 5–0
65'
D. Sousa ↓ · Samu ↑
Substitution 1
67'
N. Saviolo ↓ · M. Nogueira ↑
Substitution 2
67'
68'
H. Felix ↓ · Rony Lopes ↑
Substitution 4
T. Arcanjo ↓ · Gustavo ↑
Substitution 3
75'
Maga ↓ · T. Strata ↑
Substitution 4
75'
80'
H. Tavares ↓ · J. Hodge ↑
Substitution 5
O. Lebedenko ↓ · J. I. Mendes ↑
Substitution 5
81'
Diogo Sousa
Yellow Card
87'
Full-time · 5 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.84 60% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.83 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.90 54% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.02 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.15 42% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.07 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.35 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 85% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 60% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.39 68% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Draw 3.70 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 22% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Away Win 4.76 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.52 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.30u −14% ROI