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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — SC Braga

Match Casa Pia vs SC Braga April 23, 2026

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L L W D D
Kick-off
Thu 23 Apr · 18:00
0:1
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L D D D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 66% · book 1.60
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.92
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.85
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.48 – 0.47
Δ +0.01
Possession
31% – 69%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

SC Braga enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Their potent attack faces a Casa Pia defense that has struggled to contain opponents, while Braga's pressing and transition game could exploit home vulnerabilities. However, Casa Pia's compact block and set-piece threat may keep the scoreline modest in a match leaning towards Braga's control.

  • Braga's offensive edge against Casa Pia's defense
  • Home side's resilience and set-piece potential
  • Recent form favors Braga's momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CAS 3-4-2-1 · BRA 3-4-1-2
Subs used · CAS
46' Cassiano ↑ · Mendes
61' Osundina ↑ · Livramento
71' Perez ↑ · Ofori
71' Brito ↑ · Mohamed
Subs used · BRA
62' Zalazar ↑ · Victor
63' Lelo ↑ · Martinez
71' Navarro ↑ · Moutinho

📊 Statistics

CAS 01 BRA
31%
Possession (%)
69%
0.48
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.47
7
Total Shots
8
1
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
4
2
Shots Inside Box
2
4
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
9
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

13 · 0 – 1
David Sousa
Yellow Card
18'
37'
P. Victor
Assist · D. E. Tiknaz · 0–1
Andre Geraldes
Yellow Card
45'
45'
Pau Víctor
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
Cassiano ↓ · C. Mendes ↑
Substitution 1
46'
47'
João Moutinho
Yellow Card
K. Osundina ↓ · D. Livramento ↑
Substitution 2
61'
62'
Lukáš Horníček
Yellow Card
62'
R. Zalazar ↓ · P. Victor ↑
Substitution 1
63'
L. Lelo ↓ · G. Martinez ↑
Substitution 2
S. Perez ↓ · L. Ofori ↑
Substitution 3
71'
R. Brito ↓ · I. Mohamed ↑
Substitution 4
71'
71'
F. Navarro ↓ · J. Moutinho ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.60 66% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.92 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 52% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.97 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.98 48% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.43 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.16 88% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.24 66% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.25 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.37 69% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Draw 4.30 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 24% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 6.10 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.52 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.99u −18% ROI