Casa Pia vs SC Braga 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.60 — +6.0% better than the market.

SC Braga enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Their potent attack faces a Casa Pia defense that has struggled to contain opponents, while Braga's pressing and transition game could exploit home vulnerabilities. However, Casa Pia's compact block and set-piece threat may keep the scoreline modest in a match leaning towards Braga's control.

Braga's offensive edge against Casa Pia's defense
Home side's resilience and set-piece potential
Recent form favors Braga's momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 1.60 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 63% +0.60u

+60%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CAS 3-4-2-1 · BRA 3-4-1-2

CAS · 3-4-2-1 3-4-1-2 · BRA

99 Mendes

Subs used · CAS

46'

Cassiano ↑ ·

Mendes ↓

61'

Osundina ↑ ·

Livramento ↓

71'

Perez ↑ ·

Ofori ↓

71'

Brito ↑ ·

Mohamed ↓

Subs used · BRA

62'

Zalazar ↑ ·

Victor ↓

63'

Lelo ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

71'

Navarro ↑ ·

Moutinho ↓

Statistics

CAS 0 – 1 BRA

31%

Possession (%)

69%

0.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 0 – 1

David Sousa

Yellow Card

▮

18'

37'

⚽

P. Victor

Assist · D. E. Tiknaz · 0–1

Andre Geraldes

Yellow Card

▮

45'

▮

Pau Víctor

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

Cassiano ↓ · C. Mendes ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

47'

▮

João Moutinho

Yellow Card

K. Osundina ↓ · D. Livramento ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

62'

▮

Lukáš Horníček

Yellow Card

62'

⇄

R. Zalazar ↓ · P. Victor ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

L. Lelo ↓ · G. Martinez ↑

Substitution 2

S. Perez ↓ · L. Ofori ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

R. Brito ↓ · I. Mohamed ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

71'

⇄

F. Navarro ↓ · J. Moutinho ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

SC Braga won 1–0 away at Casa Pia. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: P. Victor (37').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.99 units (Brier 0.164).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.60	—	66%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.92	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.85	—	52%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.97	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.98	—	48%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.43	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.16	—	88%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.24	—	66%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.37	—	69%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Draw	4.30	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	24%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.10	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.52	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.99u	−18% ROI

Casa Pia vs SC Braga 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled