P
Prognosist
P
Home Portugal Primeira Liga Sporting CP — Tondela

Predictions Sporting CP vs Tondela April 29, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Wed 29 Apr · 19:15
2:2
Full-time
Tondela
Tondela
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee F. Verissimo
Home Win · SPO
84%
Best 1.10
Draw
13%
Best 13.50
Away Win · TON
3%
Best 27.00
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.16
Fair odds
2.12
book 2.16 · +1.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 47% · EV +1.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 13.2%
Odds 8.75
Show model details
Implied probability 11.4%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 83.5%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 3.3%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 86.5%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.5%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.9%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.5%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 83.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 3.3%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.7%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 16.5%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.