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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Nacional — Estoril

Predictions Nacional vs Estoril March 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 15:30
0:1
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
Home Win · NAC
32%
Best 2.22
Draw
25%
Best 3.50
Away Win · EST
43%
Best 3.10
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.54
Fair odds
2.37
book 2.54 · +7.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +7.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (58%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 31.7%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 32.4%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.8%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 31.7%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
NAC – EST @ 2.54
+7.1%
Edge
Forecast →