SC Braga vs Sporting CP 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.75 — +11.8% better than the market.

Sporting CP enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall squad and a more potent attack compared to SC Braga. Despite Braga's solid home momentum and recent good form, Sporting's defensive resilience and ability to press high could disrupt Braga's rhythm. The match hints at a lively pace with both sides capable of scoring, supported by recent trends favoring goals.

Sporting's superior defensive numbers challenge Braga's offense.
Braga's home form suggests they won't be easy to break down.
Expect an open game with chances at both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 64% Implied 57% +0.75u

+75%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BRA 3-4-2-1 · SPO 4-2-3-1

BRA · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · SPO

18 Víctor

Subs used · BRA

46'

Moscardo ↑ ·

Oliveira ↓

68'

Martinez ↑ ·

Rodrigues ↓

69'

Gorby ↑ ·

Moutinho ↓

78'

Navarro ↑ ·

Victor ↓

88'

Dorgeles ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

Subs used · SPO

73'

Simoes ↑ ·

Morita ↓

73'

Guilherme ↑ ·

Goncalves ↓

81'

Quaresma ↑ ·

Catamo ↓

Statistics

BRA 2 – 2 SPO

66%

Possession (%)

34%

1.57

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.93

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

18 · 2 – 2

22'

⚽

G. Inacio

Assist · P. Goncalves · 0–1

R. Horta

Assist · R. Zalazar · 1–1

⚽

34'

38'

▮

Hidemasa Morita

Yellow Card

Paulo Oliveira

Yellow Card

▮

41'

45'

⚽

L. Suarez (P)

Penalty · 1–2

Half-time · 1 – 2

Gabriel Moscardo ↓ · P. Oliveira ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

58'

▮

Ousmane Diomande

Yellow Card

Gustaf Lagerbielke

Yellow Card

▮

61'

Gabriel Moscardo

Yellow Card

▮

63'

G. Martinez ↓ · D. Rodrigues ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

69'

▮

Maximiliano Araújo

Yellow Card

Gorby ↓ · J. Moutinho ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

73'

⇄

J. Simoes ↓ · H. Morita ↑

Substitution 1

73'

⇄

Luis Guilherme ↓ · P. Goncalves ↑

Substitution 2

F. Navarro ↓ · P. Victor ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

81'

⇄

E. Quaresma ↓ · G. Catamo ↑

Substitution 3

M. Dorgeles ↓ · V. Gomez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

R. Zalazar (P)

Penalty · 2–2

⚽

90'

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

SC Braga and Sporting CP drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Inacio (22'), R. Horta (34'), L. Suarez (45'), R. Zalazar (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.92 units (Brier 0.169).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.95	—	61%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	64%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Away Win	2.14	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.76	—	46%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
BTTS No	2.14	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.98	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.57	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.32	—	82%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.30	—	41%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.33	—	79%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.53	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Cashed	+2.60	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.56	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.92u	−5% ROI

SC Braga vs Sporting CP 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled