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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Benfica — FC Porto

Predictions by Market: Benfica vs FC Porto

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 18:00
2:2
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BEN
37%
Best 2.06
Draw
27%
Best 3.15
Away Win · POR
36%
Best 3.98
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.75
Fair odds
1.59
book 1.75 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 63% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (64%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 35.8%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27%
Odds 3.37
Show model details
Implied probability 29.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Value pick
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.9%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BEN – POR @ 1.75
+9.9%
Edge
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