P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › GIL Vicente — Benfica

Predictions by Market: GIL Vicente vs Benfica

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 L W D L L
Kick-off
Mon 02 Mar · 20:15
1:2
Full-time
Benfica
Benfica
W W D D W Away · last 5
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIC
11%
Best 5.73
Draw
24%
Best 4.00
Away Win · BEN
65%
Best 1.55
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.80
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.80 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (70%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 11.4%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.3%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.1%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 11.4%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.9%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 88.6%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
VIC – BEN @ 3.80
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →