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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Rio Ave — Famalicao

Predictions by Market: Rio Ave vs Famalicao

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 20:30
0:0
Full-time
Famalicao
Famalicao
D W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio dos Arcos · Condi Town Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · RIO
17%
Best 3.98
Draw
25%
Best 3.54
Away Win · FAM
58%
Best 1.89
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.30
book 3.75 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (70%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 17.2%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.3%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 17.2%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 42%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
RIO – FAM @ 3.75
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →