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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Nacional — SC Braga

Predictions by Market: Nacional vs SC Braga

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Nacional
Nacional
Home · last 5 W W L L W
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 18:00
1:2
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L D D D Away · last 5
Referee Diogo Rosa, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · NAC
12%
Best 5.63
Draw
22%
Best 4.00
Away Win · BRA
66%
Best 1.57
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.82
book 3.10 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (65%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.31
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 12.3%
Odds 5.92
Show model details
Implied probability 16.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6%
Odds 12.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 12.3%
Odds 4.66
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
NAC – BRA @ 3.10
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →