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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Guimaraes — Alverca

Predictions Guimaraes vs Alverca February 28, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 20:30
1:1
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal
Home Win · GUI
60%
Best 1.80
Draw
25%
Best 3.48
Away Win · ALV
15%
Best 4.53
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.84
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.84 · +10.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 60% · EV +10.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 15.2%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.3%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 10.7%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 45.2%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 15.2%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 40%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.8%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.