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Home Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — Arouca

Predictions FC Porto vs Arouca February 27, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Fri 27 Feb · 18:45
3:1
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee Vasilica Iancu, Portugal
Home Win · POR
82%
Best 1.20
Draw
14%
Best 6.33
Away Win · ARO
4%
Best 13.25
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.41
Fair odds
2.32
book 2.41 · +4.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 43% · EV +4.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.3%
Odds 7.80
Show model details
Implied probability 12.8%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 4.2%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.9%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 4.2%
Odds 9.90
Show model details
Implied probability 10.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 18.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.