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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Estrela — Tondela

Predictions Estrela vs Tondela February 20, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Estrela
Estrela
Home · last 5 L L L D D
Kick-off
Fri 20 Feb · 20:45
0:2
Full-time
Tondela
Tondela
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estádio José Gomes · Amadora Referee Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Home Win · EST
46%
Best 2.80
Draw
28%
Best 2.92
Away Win · TON
26%
Best 2.70
Model pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.42
book 2.38 · no edge vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 41%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 25.8%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 28.3%
Odds 3.22
Show model details
Implied probability 31.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 21.3%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.2%
Odds 7.70
Show model details
Implied probability 13%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 25.8%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality High
Double Chance X2
Probability 54%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.