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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Santa Clara

Match Alverca vs Santa Clara February 21, 2026

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 15:30
1:1
Full-time
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
D W D W L Away · last 5
FC Alverca Sports Complex · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho, Portugal
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 36% · book 2.78
Hit
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 63% · book 1.60
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.67
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.30 – 0.70
Δ +0.60
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Alverca arrives with a clear home momentum, showing better recent form and a defensive edge that could frustrate Santa Clara. The home side's pressing and compact block may limit Santa Clara’s attacking threat, especially given their current poor run. Expect a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, as both teams may prioritize solidity over risk.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
  • Recent form favors Alverca’s confidence
  • Moderate tempo hints at fewer goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ALV 3-4-3 · SAN 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ALV
46' Lima ↑ · Marezi
65' Kauan ↑ · Spencer
72' Nuozzi ↑ · Chiquinho
72' Rhaldney ↑ · Moreira
83' Martinez ↑ · James
Subs used · SAN
46' Brenner ↑ · Klismahn
46' Tavares ↑ · Ferreira
65' Fernando ↑ · Paciencia
78' Torrao ↑ · Lopes
89' Darlan ↑ · Silva

📊 Statistics

ALV 11 SAN
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
7
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
10
4
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
14
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
Marezi (P)
Penalty · 1–0
6'
14'
Vinícius Lopes
Yellow Card
35'
Frederico Venâncio
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
Sandro Lima ↓ · Marezi ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
Brenner ↓ · Gustavo Klismahn ↑
Substitution 1
46'
J. Tavares ↓ · P. Ferreira ↑
Substitution 2
Kaiky Naves
Yellow Card
61'
Kauan ↓ · D. Spencer ↑
Substitution 2
65'
65'
Fernando ↓ · G. Paciencia ↑
Substitution 3
C. Nuozzi ↓ · Chiquinho ↑
Substitution 3
72'
Rhaldney ↓ · V. Moreira ↑
Substitution 4
72'
76'
Fernando
Assist · Vinicius Lopes · 1–1
78'
Welinton Torrao ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑
Substitution 4
J. Martinez ↓ · I. James ↑
Substitution 5
83'
89'
Darlan ↓ · Gabriel Silva ↑
Substitution 5
Steven Baseya
Yellow Card
90+4'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 2.78 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.60 63% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
BTTS No 1.67 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.20 43% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Under 1.5 2.47 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.06 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.72 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.90 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.02 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 71% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.42 59% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.50 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Draw 3.00 30% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.61 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.13 87% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.17 82% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 0.5 6.50 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.48u −20% ROI