Alverca vs Santa Clara 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.50 — +7.1% better than the market.

Alverca arrives with a clear home momentum, showing better recent form and a defensive edge that could frustrate Santa Clara. The home side's pressing and compact block may limit Santa Clara’s attacking threat, especially given their current poor run. Expect a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely, as both teams may prioritize solidity over risk.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
Recent form favors Alverca’s confidence
Moderate tempo hints at fewer goal chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.50 ✓ Cashed

AI 71% Implied 67% +0.50u

+50%

ROI on stake

Lineups

ALV 3-4-3 · SAN 4-2-3-1

ALV · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · SAN

10 Chiquinho

Subs used · ALV

46'

Lima ↑ ·

Marezi ↓

65'

Kauan ↑ ·

Spencer ↓

72'

Nuozzi ↑ ·

Chiquinho ↓

72'

Rhaldney ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

83'

Martinez ↑ ·

James ↓

Subs used · SAN

46'

Brenner ↑ ·

Klismahn ↓

46'

Tavares ↑ ·

Ferreira ↓

65'

Fernando ↑ ·

Paciencia ↓

78'

Torrao ↑ ·

Lopes ↓

89'

Darlan ↑ ·

Silva ↓

Statistics

ALV 1 – 1 SAN

45%

Possession (%)

55%

1.30

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 1 – 1

Marezi (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

14'

▮

Vinícius Lopes

Yellow Card

35'

▮

Frederico Venâncio

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

Sandro Lima ↓ · Marezi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

Brenner ↓ · Gustavo Klismahn ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

J. Tavares ↓ · P. Ferreira ↑

Substitution 2

Kaiky Naves

Yellow Card

▮

61'

Kauan ↓ · D. Spencer ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

⇄

Fernando ↓ · G. Paciencia ↑

Substitution 3

C. Nuozzi ↓ · Chiquinho ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

Rhaldney ↓ · V. Moreira ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

76'

⚽

Fernando

Assist · Vinicius Lopes · 1–1

78'

⇄

Welinton Torrao ↓ · Vinicius Lopes ↑

Substitution 4

J. Martinez ↓ · I. James ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

89'

⇄

Darlan ↓ · Gabriel Silva ↑

Substitution 5

Steven Baseya

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Alverca and Santa Clara drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.30 to 0.70. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Marezi (6'), Fernando (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.48 units (Brier 0.150).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.78	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.60	—	63%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
BTTS No	1.67	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.20	—	43%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.47	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.06	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.72	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.90	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.02	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	71%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	59%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.50	—	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	3.00	—	30%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.61	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.13	—	87%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.17	—	82%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 0.5	6.50	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.48u	−20% ROI

Alverca vs Santa Clara 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled