Match Famalicao vs Casa Pia February 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Famalicao Looks to Assert Home Dominance

Famalicao carries a clear quality edge and home momentum into this clash, supported by a solid attacking setup that challenges Casa Pia's defense. The home side's recent form shows resilience, while Casa Pia's defensive struggles could be exploited. Expect a controlled tempo with Famalicao pressing high and leveraging set-piece opportunities. The match hints at a moderate goal environment, favoring the home side's ability to break through.

Famalicao's superior overall strength and home comfort
Effective offensive pressure against Casa Pia's defense
Stable recent form contrasting Casa Pia's inconsistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

FAM 4-3-3 · CAS 3-4-2-1

FAM · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · CAS

7 Sorriso

Subs used · FAM

65'

Soares ↑ ·

Bondo ↓

65'

Joujou ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

81'

Pena ↑ ·

De Amorim ↓

81'

Elisor ↑ ·

Abubakar ↓

87'

Santos ↑ ·

Van de Looi ↓

Subs used · CAS

46'

Mohamed ↑ ·

Ofori ↓

58'

Livramento ↑ ·

Mendes ↓

79'

Morais ↑ ·

Osundina ↓

79'

Perez ↑ ·

Sousa ↓

85'

Marques ↑ ·

Brito ↓

📊 Statistics

FAM 2 – 0 CAS

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.46

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.37

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 0

Gustavo Sá

Yellow Card

▮

13'

Pedro Bondo

Yellow Card

▮

23'

29'

▮

Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira

Yellow Card

M. De Amorim

Assist · Gil Dias · 1–0

⚽

31'

40'

▮

David Sousa

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

I. Mohamed ↓ · L. Ofori ↑

Substitution 1

58'

⇄

D. Livramento ↓ · C. Mendes ↑

Substitution 2

Justin De Haas

Yellow Card

▮

65'

Rafa Soares ↓ · Pedro Bondo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

A. Joujou ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

79'

⇄

T. Morais ↓ · K. Osundina ↑

Substitution 3

79'

⇄

S. Perez ↓ · D. Sousa ↑

Substitution 4

M. Pena ↓ · M. De Amorim ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

S. Elisor ↓ · U. Abubakar ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

A. Joujou

Assist · Gil Dias · 2–0

⚽

81'

85'

⇄

J. Marques ↓ · R. Brito ↑

Substitution 5

P. Santos ↓ · T. Van de Looi ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Famalicao beat Casa Pia 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.46 to 0.37. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 7, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. De Amorim (31'), A. Joujou (81').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.42 units (Brier 0.095).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.71	—	64%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.86	—	56%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
BTTS No	1.80	—	55%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.09	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.25	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	87%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.27	—	64%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.31	—	77%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	90%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	—	69%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.64	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.70	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.10	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.42u	−32% ROI