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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Moreirense — Sporting CP

Predictions by Market: Moreirense vs Sporting CP

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 18:00
0:3
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas · Guimarães Referee Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MOR
6%
Best 11.44
Draw
17%
Best 5.58
Away Win · SPO
77%
Best 1.26
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.23
Fair odds
2.11
book 2.23 · +5.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +5.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (53%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.3%
Odds 5.93
Show model details
Implied probability 16.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 6.2%
Odds 11.80
Show model details
Implied probability 8.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.5%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 6.2%
Odds 7.90
Show model details
Implied probability 12.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
MOR – SPO @ 2.23
+5.7%
Edge
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