P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — AVS

Match Benfica vs AVS February 21, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 18:00
3:0
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.97
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 43% · book 2.70
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 1.93
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
3.47 – 0.11
Δ +3.36
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
7 / 16
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.97 — +12.2% better than the market.

Benfica enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong attacking edge against AVS's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while AVS struggles to maintain consistency on the road. The quality gap heavily favors Benfica, who are likely to control the pace and create multiple chances.

  • Benfica's potent offense vs AVS's leaky defense
  • Home advantage with solid recent form
  • Expected open game given Benfica's attacking intent

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.97 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 51% +0.97u
+97%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · AVS 4-1-4-1
Subs used · BEN
46' Araujo ↑ · Otamendi
71' Ivanovic ↑ · Bah
71' Lukebakio ↑ · Schjelderup
81' Anisio ↑ · Pavlidis
86' Prioste ↑ · Silva
Subs used · AVS
46' Molina ↑ · Pivo
46' Santos ↑ · Devenish
54' Perea ↑ · Akinsola
54' Galletto ↑ · Mendonca
81' Kiki ↑ · Rivas

📊 Statistics

BEN 30 AVS
65%
Possession (%)
35%
3.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.11
22
Total Shots
3
9
Shots on Target
0
7
Shots off Target
2
14
Shots Inside Box
2
10
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
14
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

13 · 3 – 0
A. Bah
1–0
11'
E. Barrenechea
Assist · R. Rios · 2–0
30'
Rafa Silva
Assist · S. Lopes Cabral · 3–0
43'
Half-time · 3 – 0
T. Araujo ↓ · N. Otamendi ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
G. Molina ↓ · Mateus Pivo ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Santos ↓ · C. Devenish ↑
Substitution 2
54'
O. Perea ↓ · T. Akinsola ↑
Substitution 3
54'
T. Galletto ↓ · G. Mendonca ↑
Substitution 4
F. Ivanovic ↓ · A. Bah ↑
Substitution 2
71'
D. Lukebakio ↓ · A. Schjelderup ↑
Substitution 3
71'
Anisio ↓ · V. Pavlidis ↑
Substitution 4
81'
81'
Kiki ↓ · D. Rivas ↑
Substitution 5
D. Prioste ↓ · Rafa Silva ↑
Substitution 5
86'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 7 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.97 57% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.70 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.93 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 15.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 8.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.40 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 10.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.02 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Home Win 1.11 88% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
BTTS No 1.55 57% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Under 0.5 29.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.11 84% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.37 65% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Away Win 39.00 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 23.00 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 9 L −6.85u −43% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
BEN – AVS @ 1.97
+12.2%
Edge
Forecast →