GIL Vicente vs SC Braga 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.34 — +8.2% better than the market.

SC Braga enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong away momentum, boasting a sharper attack against GIL Vicente's defense. Despite GIL Vicente's solid recent form at home, Braga's offensive threat and overall strength suggest they can control the game tempo. The home side's defensive resilience may keep things tight, but Braga's pressing and goal threat hint at a lively contest with chances at both ends.

Braga's superior attacking quality challenges Gil Vicente's defense
Home side's recent form shows resilience but less firepower
Moderate pace expected, balancing defensive solidity and attacking intent

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.34 ✗ Lost

AI 81% Implied 75% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

VIC 4-2-3-1 · BRA 3-4-1-2

VIC · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · BRA

29 Eduardo

Subs used · VIC

46'

Varela ↑ ·

Eduardo ↓

61'

Moreira ↑ ·

Fernandes ↓

62'

Hevertton ↑ ·

Carlos ↓

87'

Espigares ↑ ·

Esteves ↓

90'

Bermejo ↑ ·

Souza ↓

Subs used · BRA

65'

Rodrigues ↑ ·

Grillitsch ↓

72'

Oliveira ↑ ·

Barisic ↓

72'

E. Tiknaz ↑ ·

Victor ↓

80'

Lelo ↑ ·

Arrey-Mbi ↓

80'

Navarro ↑ ·

Moutinho ↓

Statistics

VIC 2 – 1 BRA

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.24

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 2 – 1

21'

⚽

R. Horta

Assist · V. Gomez · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

G. Varela ↓ · Carlos Eduardo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Luís Esteves

Yellow Card

▮

58'

A. Moreira ↓ · J. Fernandes ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

S. Hevertton ↓ · Ze Carlos ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

62'

65'

⇄

D. Rodrigues ↓ · F. Grillitsch ↑

Substitution 1

G. Varela

Assist · S. Garcia · 1–1

⚽

65'

72'

⇄

P. Oliveira ↓ · A. Barisic ↑

Substitution 2

72'

⇄

D. E. Tiknaz ↓ · P. Victor ↑

Substitution 3

S. Garcia

Assist · Murilo de Souza · 2–1

⚽

76'

80'

⇄

L. Lelo ↓ · B. Arrey-Mbi ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

F. Navarro ↓ · J. Moutinho ↑

Substitution 5

A. Espigares ↓ · L. Esteves ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

Bermejo ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

Marvin Elimbi

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

90+6'

▮

Diego Rodrigues

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

GIL Vicente beat SC Braga 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.24 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Horta (21'), G. Varela (65'), S. Garcia (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.83 units (Brier 0.244).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.16	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.26	—	52%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.01	—	53%	Cashed	+1.01	Cashed
BTTS No	1.83	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.70	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.74	—	46%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.55	—	19%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	75%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.34	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.20	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.55	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.00	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	92%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.48	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.25	—	69%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Home Win	3.85	—	19%	Cashed	+2.85	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.60	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.83u	−5% ROI

GIL Vicente vs SC Braga 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled