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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Guimaraes — Estrela

Predictions Guimaraes vs Estrela February 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 18:00
2:1
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal
Home Win · GUI
62%
Best 1.68
Draw
25%
Best 3.55
Away Win · EST
13%
Best 5.25
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.76
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.76 · +9.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 62% · EV +9.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.3%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 61.8%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 38.2%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.1%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.3%
Odds 3.84
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.