Match Famalicao vs AVS February 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.06 — +11.2% better than the market.

Famalicao holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against struggling AVS. Their stronger defense and superior recent form suggest a compact, controlled game with limited chances for the visitors. AVS’s attack faces a tough test against Famalicao’s disciplined backline, while the home side’s pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive.

Home advantage with a solid defensive shape
AVS’s attack likely contained by home’s compact block
Moderate pace expected, favoring a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ✗ Lost

AI 54% Implied 49% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FAM 4-1-4-1 · AVS 4-1-4-1

FAM · 4-1-4-1 4-1-4-1 · AVS

9 Abubakar ⚽

Subs used · FAM

46'

Joujou ↑ ·

Bondo ↓

74'

Pena ↑ ·

Sa ↓

74'

Elisor ↑ ·

Abubakar ↓

81'

Pastor ↑ ·

Santos ↓

90+1'

Almeida ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

Subs used · AVS

29'

Ponck ↑ ·

Vitor ↓

70'

Perea ↑ ·

Duarte ↓

70'

Nene ↑ ·

Tomane ↓

76'

Neiva ↑ ·

Rivas ↓

76'

Algobia ↑ ·

Mendonca ↓

📊 Statistics

FAM 3 – 1 AVS

66%

Possession (%)

34%

2.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.44

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 3 – 1

Gustavo García

Yellow Card

▮

Justin De Haas

Yellow Card

▮

25'

29'

⇄

Ponck ↓ · Paulo Vitor ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

A. Joujou ↓ · Pedro Bondo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Pedro Bondo

Yellow Card

▮

45+2'

48'

▮

Mateus Pivô

Yellow Card

50'

⚽

D. Duarte

Assist · Tomane · 0–1

J. De Haas

Assist · A. Joujou · 1–1

⚽

54'

A. Joujou

Assist · P. Santos · 2–1

⚽

63'

U. Abubakar

Assist · P. Santos · 3–1

⚽

67'

70'

⇄

O. Perea ↓ · D. Duarte ↑

Substitution 2

70'

⇄

Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑

Substitution 3

M. Pena ↓ · G. Sa ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

S. Elisor ↓ · U. Abubakar ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

76'

⇄

G. Neiva ↓ · D. Rivas ↑

Substitution 4

76'

⇄

A. Algobia ↓ · G. Mendonca ↑

Substitution 5

G. Pastor ↓ · P. Santos ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

R. Almeida ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

90+4'

▮

Pedro Lima

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Famalicao beat AVS 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.18 to 0.44. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Duarte (50'), J. De Haas (54'), A. Joujou (63'), U. Abubakar (67').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.02 units (Brier 0.165).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.06	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.76	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.17	—	44%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.86	—	46%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.43	—	71%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.20	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.10	—	91%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.19	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.11	—	71%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	26%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.82	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	72%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Away Win	8.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.60	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.02u	−24% ROI