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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Arouca — Guimaraes

Predictions Arouca vs Guimaraes February 7, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Arouca
Arouca
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Feb · 20:30
3:2
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca Referee Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
Home Win · ARO
29%
Best 2.78
Draw
26%
Best 3.15
Away Win · GUI
45%
Best 2.55
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.75
Fair odds
1.63
book 1.75 · +7.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 61% · EV +7.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 3.26
Show model details
Implied probability 30.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.41
Show model details
Implied probability 29.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 35.2%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 11.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 64.8%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ARO – GUI @ 1.75
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →