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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › SC Braga — Rio Ave

Predictions by Market: SC Braga vs Rio Ave

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
SC Braga
SC Braga
Home · last 5 W L D D D
Kick-off
Sun 08 Feb · 18:00
3:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Braga · Braga Referee Miguel Nogueira, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BRA
81%
Best 1.18
Draw
14%
Best 7.00
Away Win · RIO
5%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.90
Fair odds
6.96
book 7.90 · +13.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +13.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (81%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 14.4%
Odds 7.90
Show model details
Implied probability 12.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 4.8%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.2%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 19.5%
Odds 5.58
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.4%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 80.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 4.8%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 19.1%
Odds 5.05
Show model details
Implied probability 19.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BRA – RIO @ 7.90
+13.4%
Edge
Forecast →