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Home Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — Sporting CP

Predictions FC Porto vs Sporting CP February 9, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Mon 09 Feb · 20:45
1:1
Full-time
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
D D W W W Away · last 5
Estádio Do Dragão · Porto Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Home Win · POR
34%
Best 2.50
Draw
29%
Best 3.10
Away Win · SPO
38%
Best 2.92
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.62
Fair odds
1.51
book 1.62 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 66% · EV +7.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 33.6%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.9%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.9%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.6%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Value pick
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 3.06
Show model details
Implied probability 32.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.7%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 39.3%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 33.6%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.