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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — FC Porto

Match Casa Pia vs FC Porto February 2, 2026

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Mon 02 Feb · 20:45
2:1
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Pedro Ramalho, Portugal
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 41% · book 2.54
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.07
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.85
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.97 – 2.02
Δ −1.05
Possession
32% – 68%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

FC Porto enters this clash with clear quality superiority and strong recent form, showing a solid attacking edge against Casa Pia's defense. The home side's recent results suggest some resilience, but Porto's pace and offensive efficiency should test their compact block. Expect Porto to control the tempo and create multiple chances, while Casa Pia may rely on set-pieces and counter-attacks to threaten.

  • Porto's attacking pressure vs Casa Pia's defense
  • Home side's recent mixed form but defensive discipline
  • Likely controlled tempo favoring away side's quality

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CAS 3-4-3 · POR 4-3-3
Subs used · CAS
56' Osundina ↑ · Morais
82' Mendes ↑ · Cassiano
Subs used · POR
46' Costa ↑ · Fernandes
57' Froholdt ↑ · Varela
57' Gomes ↑ · Sainz
70' Pietuszewski ↑ · Pepê
71' Gul ↑ · Silva

📊 Statistics

CAS 21 POR
32%
Possession (%)
68%
0.97
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.02
6
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots off Target
4
3
Shots Inside Box
10
0
Corner Kicks
10
1
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
14
69%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
3
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 2 – 1
G. Larrazabal
Assist · J. Livolant · 1–0
12'
Lawrence Ofori
Yellow Card
40'
Thiago Silva
Own goal · 2–0
45'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
A. Costa ↓ · M. Fernandes ↑
Substitution 1
46'
P. Rosario
Assist · A. Costa · 2–1
K. Osundina ↓ · T. Morais ↑
Substitution 1
56'
57'
V. Froholdt ↓ · A. Varela ↑
Substitution 2
57'
William Gomes ↓ · B. Sainz ↑
Substitution 3
Gaizka Larrazabal
Yellow Card
59'
70'
O. Pietuszewski ↓ · Pepê ↑
Substitution 4
71'
D. Gul ↓ · Thiago Silva ↑
Substitution 5
79'
William Gomes
Red Card
C. Mendes ↓ · Cassiano ↑
Substitution 2
82'
90+2'
Alberto Costa
Yellow Card
David Sousa
Yellow Card
90+6'
90+7'
Jan Bednarek
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.54 41% Cashed +1.54 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.07 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.85 53% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.06 94% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.29 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 69% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.05 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.57 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.03 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.95 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 76% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 4.00 23% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 13.00 6% Cashed +12.00 Cashed
AH Home 0 8.30 6% Cashed +7.30 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +16.42u +97% ROI