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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Santa Clara — Estoril

Predictions by Market: Santa Clara vs Estoril

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 31 Jan · 15:30
2:4
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada Referee Helder Malheiro, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SAN
37%
Best 2.26
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · EST
35%
Best 3.40
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.72
Fair odds
1.58
book 1.72 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 63% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (65%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 35.4%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.9%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.1%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 21%
Odds 4.24
Show model details
Implied probability 23.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.59
Show model details
Implied probability 38.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 36.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
SAN – EST @ 1.72
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →