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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Casa Pia — AVS

Match Casa Pia vs AVS January 23, 2026

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Fri 23 Jan · 20:15
3:3
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Ricardo Baixinho, Portugal
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.85 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 68% · book 1.71 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 1.98 ✗
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
1.57 – 3.16
Δ −1.59
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Casa Pia holds a clear home edge with a stronger defensive setup and better overall quality, which should help them control the game tempo at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Despite recent mixed form, their ability to limit AVS's attacking threat stands out. AVS struggles away and has shown poor recent form, suggesting Casa Pia's compact block and home momentum could be decisive.

  • Casa Pia's defensive solidity vs AVS's moderate offense
  • Home advantage with tactical discipline
  • Low-scoring trend likely given cautious play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

CAS 3-4-3 · AVS 4-2-3-1
CAS · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · AVS 1 Sequeira 4 Goulart 3 Bandeira 43 Sousa ⚽ 72 Larrazabal ⚽ 8 Brito 74 Nhaga 5 Conté 21 Morais 90 Cassiano 29 Livolant 1 Adriel 23 Mendonca 26 Ponck 35 Semedo 24 Afonso 70 Roni 27 Algobia 11 Akinsola 8 Lima 14 Perea 7 Tomané
Subs used · CAS
65' Osundina ↑ · Morais ↓
80' Prieto ↑ · Conte ↓
80' Ofori ↑ · Brito ↓
90+3' Mohamed ↑ · Livolant ↓
Subs used · AVS
60' Rivas ↑ · Perea ↓
60' Duarte ↑ · Roni ↓
68' Nene ↑ · Tomane ↓
68' Neiva ↑ · Akinsola ↓

📊 Statistics

CAS 3 – 3 AVS
42%
Possession (%)
58%
1.57
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.16
9
Total Shots
27
4
Shots on Target
7
2
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
14
2
Corner Kicks
11
2
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
13
47%
Pass Accuracy (%)
50%
3
Yellow Cards
5
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

22 · 3 – 3
D. Sousa
Assist · R. Brito · 1–0
⚽
5'
13'
▮
Roni
Yellow Card
30'
▮
Rúben Semedo
Yellow Card
44'
▮
Pedro Lima
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
G. Larrazabal
2–0
⚽
50'
60'
⇄
D. Rivas ↓ · O. Perea ↑
Substitution 1
60'
⇄
D. Duarte ↓ · Roni ↑
Substitution 2
Cassiano
Yellow Card
▮
63'
K. Osundina ↓ · T. Morais ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
K. Osundina
Assist · J. Livolant · 3–0
⚽
65'
68'
⇄
Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑
Substitution 3
68'
⇄
G. Neiva ↓ · T. Akinsola ↑
Substitution 4
69'
▮
Leonardo Rivas
Yellow Card
Abdu Conté
Yellow Card
▮
74'
75'
⚽
Nene (P)
Penalty · 3–1
K. Prieto ↓ · A. Conte ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
80'
L. Ofori ↓ · R. Brito ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
80'
81'
▮
Kiki Afonso
Yellow Card
João Goulart
Yellow Card
▮
88'
90'
⚽
Nene (P)
Penalty · 3–2
90'
⚽
G. Neiva
Assist · Pedro Lima · 3–3
I. Mohamed ↓ · J. Livolant ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+3'
Full-time · 3 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.85 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.71 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.98 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.92 — 43% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.12 — 37% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.35 — 32% Cashed +1.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.08 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.50 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 — 85% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.25 — 83% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.43 — 58% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.42 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 — 83% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Draw 3.45 — 26% Cashed +2.45 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.15 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.34 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.35 — 15% Cashed +3.35 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.96u +6% ROI