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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Famalicao — Tondela

Match Famalicao vs Tondela January 25, 2026

Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 18:00
3:0
Full-time
Tondela
Tondela
L D W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.66
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.81
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.15
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
0.66 – 0.11
Δ +0.55
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Famalicao holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Tondela, who struggle away with a weaker defensive setup. The hosts' compact block and set-piece threat could stifle Tondela’s modest attack, while Famalicao’s recent form shows signs of resilience despite some inconsistency. Expect a controlled tempo with moderate chances, leaning towards a home win given their stronger overall profile and tactical discipline.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away attacking limits
  • Famalicao’s home confidence and pressing edge
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FAM 4-2-3-1 · TON 3-4-3
Subs used · FAM
52' Garcia ↑ · Pinheiro
78' Joujou ↑ · Sorriso
78' Santos ↑ · Sa
83' Pena ↑ · Van de Looi
83' Mamageishvili ↑ · De Amorim
Subs used · TON
46' Siebatcheu ↑ · Hodge
60' Rodrigues ↑ · Conceicao
60' Felix ↑ · Maranhao
72' Rodriguez ↑ · Sithole
84' Manso ↑ · Bebeto

📊 Statistics

FAM 30 TON
61%
Possession (%)
39%
0.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.11
9
Total Shots
2
4
Shots on Target
0
3
Shots off Target
1
5
Shots Inside Box
1
3
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
20
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

14 · 3 – 0
M. De Amorim
Assist · S. Elisor · 1–0
31'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
J. Siebatcheu ↓ · J. Hodge ↑
Substitution 1
51'
João Afonso
Yellow Card
Garcia ↓ · R. Pinheiro ↑
Substitution 1
52'
60'
A. Rodrigues ↓ · R. Conceicao ↑
Substitution 2
60'
H. Felix ↓ · Pedro Maranhao ↑
Substitution 3
Gil Dias
2–0
69'
72'
J. Rodriguez ↓ · S. Sithole ↑
Substitution 4
A. Joujou ↓ · Sorriso ↑
Substitution 2
78'
P. Santos ↓ · G. Sa ↑
Substitution 3
78'
P. Santos
3–0
81'
M. Pena ↓ · T. Van de Looi ↑
Substitution 4
83'
O. Mamageishvili ↓ · M. De Amorim ↑
Substitution 5
83'
84'
T. Manso ↓ · Bebeto ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.66 65% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.81 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.15 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.76 55% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.12 45% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.36 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.16 88% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.22 65% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 76% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.25 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.37 70% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Draw 3.95 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.25 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.41 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.33u −31% ROI