AVS vs Moreirense 0:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.34 — +5.7% better than the market.

Moreirense enters this clash with a clear quality edge over AVS, who struggle with recent form and defensive solidity. The visitors' stronger offense should exploit AVS's leaky defense, while the home side's modest home edge is unlikely to offset this gap. Expect a tactical battle where Moreirense's pressing and compact block could limit AVS's chances.

Moreirense's superior overall strength and form advantage
AVS's defensive vulnerabilities against a sharper attack
Moderate pace suggested by odds hints at a controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.34 ✓ Cashed

AI 79% Implied 75% +0.34u

+34%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AVS 5-4-1 · MOR 4-4-2

AVS · 5-4-1 4-4-2 · MOR

7 Tomané

Subs used · AVS

46'

Perea ↑ ·

Neiva ↓

56'

Assuncao ↑ ·

Santos ↓

56'

Mendonca ↑ ·

Grau ↓

56'

Escobar ↑ ·

Lima ↓

70'

Nene ↑ ·

Tomane ↓

Subs used · MOR

64'

Bernardo ↑ ·

Rodri ↓

75'

Landerson ↑ ·

Pinto ↓

75'

Teguia ↑ ·

Bondoso ↓

75'

Semedo ↑ ·

Schettine ↓

90+1'

Gower ↑ ·

Alanzinho ↓

Statistics

AVS 0 – 2 MOR

40%

Possession (%)

60%

0.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.91

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

20 · 0 – 2

12'

⚽

Travassos

0–1

Aderllan Santos

Yellow Card

▮

23'

Half-time · 0 – 1

Cristian Castro

Yellow Card

▮

46'

O. Perea ↓ · G. Neiva ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

50'

⚽

Guilherme Schettine

Assist · Rodri · 0–2

G. Assuncao ↓ · A. Santos ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

56'

G. Mendonca ↓ · J. Grau ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

56'

J. Escobar ↓ · Pedro Lima ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

56'

Tomané

Yellow Card

▮

60'

▮

Dinis Pinto

Yellow Card

64'

⇄

Bernardo ↓ · Rodri ↑

Substitution 1

Nene ↓ · Tomane ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

70'

75'

⇄

Landerson ↓ · D. Pinto ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

C. Teguia ↓ · Kiko Bondoso ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

L. Semedo ↓ · Guilherme Schettine ↑

Substitution 4

77'

▮

Caio

Yellow Card

90+1'

⇄

J. Gower ↓ · Alanzinho ↑

Substitution 5

Gustavo Assunção

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

▮

Landerson

Yellow Card

Nenê

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Moreirense won 2–0 away at AVS. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.91 to 0.36. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Travassos (12'), Guilherme Schettine (50').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.49 units (Brier 0.116).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.32	—	51%	Cashed	+1.32	Cashed
BTTS No	1.83	—	56%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.65	—	61%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.36	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.05	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.44	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.34	—	79%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.90	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.45	—	65%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.58	—	51%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.24	—	80%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.10	—	88%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.35	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.49u	−26% ROI

AVS vs Moreirense 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled