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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Alverca — Famalicao

Predictions Alverca vs Famalicao January 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Alverca
Alverca
Home · last 5 L W L D L
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 20:30
1:0
Full-time
Famalicao
Famalicao
D W D D W Away · last 5
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca · Alverca do Ribatejo Referee Diogo Rosa, Portugal
Home Win · ALV
19%
Best 3.62
Draw
26%
Best 3.25
Away Win · FAM
54%
Best 2.10
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.18
Fair odds
2.17
book 2.18 · +0.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 46% · EV +0.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.41
Show model details
Implied probability 29.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 19.4%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.6%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.4%
Odds 8.70
Show model details
Implied probability 11.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 19.4%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 80.6%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.