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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Rio Ave — Casa Pia

Predictions Rio Ave vs Casa Pia January 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Home · last 5 D L D L D
Kick-off
Sun 04 Jan · 15:30
3:1
Full-time
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
L W D D W Away · last 5
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube · Vila do Conde Referee Vasilica Iancu, Portugal
Home Win · RIO
50%
Best 2.41
Draw
28%
Best 3.04
Away Win · CAS
22%
Best 3.18
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.90
Fair odds
1.81
book 1.90 · +5.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +5.2%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 50.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 27.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 22.1%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 34.7%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 11.8%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.2%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 22.1%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.