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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Casa Pia — Guimaraes

Predictions by Market: Casa Pia vs Guimaraes

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 15:30
0:0
Full-time
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
W W L L L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CAS
22%
Best 3.10
Draw
29%
Best 2.92
Away Win · GUI
50%
Best 2.50
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 8.00
Fair odds
7.08
book 8.00 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 14% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (86%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28.7%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 21.5%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 41%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds 2.51
Show model details
Implied probability 39.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 14.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 84.8%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 85.9%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.5%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
CAS – GUI @ 8.00
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →