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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Famalicao — Estrela

Predictions by Market: Famalicao vs Estrela

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 18:00
2:3
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FAM
66%
Best 1.50
Draw
23%
Best 4.08
Away Win · EST
12%
Best 6.28
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.08
book 3.50 · +13.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +13.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 11.6%
Odds 6.20
Show model details
Implied probability 16.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.2%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 56.8%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 11.6%
Odds 4.47
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88.4%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
FAM – EST @ 3.50
+13.6%
Edge
Forecast →