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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Estoril — Alverca

Match Estoril vs Alverca December 27, 2025

Estoril
Estoril
Home · last 5 L L D D L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 20:30
4:1
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota · Estoril Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 52% · book 2.31
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.95
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.78
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
1.30 – 0.75
Δ +0.55
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Estoril holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Their attacking strength faces a solid but less potent Alverca defense, while Estoril’s form shows consistent momentum compared to Alverca’s mixed recent results. Expect a tactical battle with Estoril pressing forward and Alverca relying on a compact block and counterattacks.

  • Home side’s offensive edge likely to create chances
  • Alverca’s defensive resilience may limit goals
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

EST 4-2-3-1 · ALV 3-4-3
Subs used · EST
57' Tsoungui ↑ · Carvalho
68' Pizzi ↑ · Amaral
68' Parente ↑ · Carvalho
87' Lominadze ↑ · Jandro
87' Peixinho ↑ · Marques
Subs used · ALV
46' Marezi ↑ · Nuozzi
61' Gui ↑ · Lincoln
61' Leite
74' Lima ↑ · Lima
75' Gomez ↑ · Meupiyou

📊 Statistics

EST 41 ALV
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.30
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.75
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
7
3
Shots off Target
4
6
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Corner Kicks
7
2
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
11
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

20 · 4 – 1
B. Meupiyou
Own goal · 1–0
36'
Y. Begraoui
2–0
43'
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
Marezi ↓ · C. Nuozzi ↑
Substitution 1
Y. Begraoui
Assist · J. Carvalho · 3–0
47'
49'
Lincoln
Yellow Card
Pedro Carvalho
Yellow Card
52'
55'
Nabil Touaizi
Yellow Card
A. Tsoungui ↓ · J. Carvalho ↑
Substitution 1
57'
B. Meupiyou
Own goal · 4–0
60'
61'
D. Gui ↓ · Lincoln ↑
Substitution 2
61'
T. Leite ↓ ·
Substitution 3
67'
Amorim
Assist · S. Abdulai · 4–1
Pizzi ↓ · P. Amaral ↑
Substitution 2
68'
T. Parente ↓ · P. Carvalho ↑
Substitution 3
68'
74'
Felipe Lima ↓ · Sandro Lima ↑
Substitution 4
75'
S. Gomez ↓ · B. Meupiyou ↑
Substitution 5
86'
Julián Jose Martinez
Yellow Card
N. Lominadze ↓ · Jandro ↑
Substitution 4
87'
Peixinho ↓ · A. Marques ↑
Substitution 5
87'
Antef Tsoungui
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 4 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.31 52% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.78 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.13 43% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 48% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.63 52% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.67 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.35 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.38 78% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.25 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.37 69% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.10 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.46 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 23% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Away Win 3.40 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.43u −8% ROI