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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Sporting CP — Rio Ave

Predictions by Market: Sporting CP vs Rio Ave

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Dec · 20:30
4:0
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SPO
83%
Best 1.09
Draw
13%
Best 10.80
Away Win · RIO
4%
Best 25.02
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.28
Fair odds
2.08
book 2.28 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (52%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 12.9%
Odds 9.15
Show model details
Implied probability 10.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 3.8%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 87.7%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 12.3%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.4%
Odds 23.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 3.8%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 96.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 16.7%
Odds 6.04
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
SPO – RIO @ 2.28
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →