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Home Portugal Primeira Liga FC Porto — AVS

Predictions FC Porto vs AVS December 29, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Mon 29 Dec · 20:15
2:0
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Estádio do Dragão · Porto Referee Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal
Home Win · POR
85%
Best 1.11
Draw
12%
Best 9.25
Away Win · AVS
3%
Best 20.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.50
Fair odds
5.66
book 6.50 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 18% · EV +14.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (82%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 12.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 85.2%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 2.5%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 17.7%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 85.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 2.5%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 14.8%
Odds 7.39
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
POR – AVS @ 6.50
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →