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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › FC Porto — AVS

Predictions by Market: FC Porto vs AVS

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
FC Porto
FC Porto
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Mon 29 Dec · 20:15
2:0
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Estádio do Dragão · Porto Referee Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · POR
85%
Best 1.11
Draw
12%
Best 9.25
Away Win · AVS
3%
Best 20.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.50
Fair odds
5.66
book 6.50 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 18% · EV +14.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (82%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 12.3%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 85.2%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 2.5%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.7%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.7%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 58.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 85.2%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 2.5%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 14.8%
Odds 7.39
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
POR – AVS @ 6.50
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →