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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Santa Clara — Arouca

Predictions by Market: Santa Clara vs Arouca

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 20:30
0:0
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada Referee Vasilica Iancu, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SAN
46%
Best 1.80
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · ARO
28%
Best 4.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.53
book 2.88 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (60%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 27.9%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13.9%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 16.1%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 27.9%
Odds 3.52
Show model details
Implied probability 28.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.5%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SAN – ARO @ 2.88
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →