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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Santa Clara — Arouca

Predictions Santa Clara vs Arouca December 21, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 20:30
0:0
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estádio de São Miguel · Ponta Delgada, Ilha de São Miguel, Açores Referee Vasilica Iancu, Portugal
Home Win · SAN
46%
Best 1.80
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · ARO
28%
Best 4.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.53
book 2.88 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (60%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 27.9%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 66.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 33.9%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.9%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 16.1%
Odds 4.60
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 38%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 27.9%
Odds 3.52
Show model details
Implied probability 28.4%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.5%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 54.5%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
SAN – ARO @ 2.88
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →