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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Famalicao — Estoril

Predictions by Market: Famalicao vs Estoril

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
Estoril
Estoril
L L D D L Away · last 5
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho · Vila Nova de Famalicao Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FAM
45%
Best 1.70
Draw
25%
Best 3.80
Away Win · EST
31%
Best 4.80
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.07
Fair odds
1.81
book 2.07 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (70%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.5%
Odds 4.47
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.79
Show model details
Implied probability 26.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 11.40
Show model details
Implied probability 8.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.5%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.1%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
FAM – EST @ 2.07
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →