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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Estoril — Moreirense

Predictions by Market: Estoril vs Moreirense

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Estoril
Estoril
Home · last 5 L L D D L
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 15:30
3:3
Full-time
Moreirense
Moreirense
W L W L D Away · last 5
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota · Cascais Referee Helder Malheiro, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EST
39%
Best 2.18
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · MOR
34%
Best 3.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.80
Fair odds
1.65
book 1.80 · +9.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 61% · EV +9.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (66%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 34.2%
Odds 3.83
Show model details
Implied probability 26.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.46
Show model details
Implied probability 28.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 34.2%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.3%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
EST – MOR @ 1.80
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →