P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › AVS — Rio Ave

Predictions by Market: AVS vs Rio Ave

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
AVS
AVS
Home · last 5 D D W W D
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 18:00
1:2
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves Referee Jose Bessa, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AVS
25%
Best 3.05
Draw
27%
Best 3.20
Away Win · RIO
48%
Best 2.40
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.90
book 3.25 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +12.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (66%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 48.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.06
Show model details
Implied probability 32.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 20.2%
Odds 3.82
Show model details
Implied probability 26.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.1%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 24.5%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AVS – RIO @ 3.25
+12.0%
Edge
Forecast →