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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Sporting CP — Estrela

Predictions by Market: Sporting CP vs Estrela

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Home · last 5 D D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 18:00
4:0
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Estádio José Alvalade · Lisbon Referee Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SPO
86%
Best 1.14
Draw
12%
Best 7.85
Away Win · EST
3%
Best 17.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 7.90
Fair odds
7.15
book 7.90 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 14% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (98%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 11.5%
Odds 11.30
Show model details
Implied probability 8.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 86%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 2.5%
Odds 30.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 30.9%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.8%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.4%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.2%
Odds 26.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 2.5%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 14%
Odds 7.90
Show model details
Implied probability 12.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 97.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
SPO – EST @ 7.90
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →