Moreirense vs Famalicao 2:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.75 — +8.9% better than the market.

Moreirense holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Their recent form shows strong home momentum, while Famalicao's defensive struggles against Moreirense's attack hint at potential goal opportunities. The match may lean towards a balanced pace given the odds, with Moreirense likely pressing higher and exploiting set-piece chances.

Home side's better form and home edge
Moreirense's attacking edge vs Famalicao's defense
Moderate goal environment with balanced tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 57% +0.75u

+75%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MOR 4-3-3 · FAM 4-2-3-1

MOR · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · FAM

78 Landerson

Subs used · MOR

46'

Michel ↑ ·

Kiko ↓

46'

Bondoso ↑ ·

Marcelo ↓

64'

Semedo ↑ ·

Schettine ↓

65'

Sousa ↑ ·

Bernardo ↓

83'

Assis ↑ ·

Stjepanovic ↓

Subs used · FAM

81'

Elisor ↑ ·

Zabiri ↓

90+3'

Joujou ↑ ·

Sorriso ↓

Statistics

MOR 2 – 2 FAM

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.82

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

21 · 2 – 2

19'

▮

Tom Van De Looi

Yellow Card

21'

⚽

Y. Zabiri

Assist · Gil Dias · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

Michel ↓ · Kiko ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Kiko Bondoso ↓ · Marcelo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

Guilherme Schettine

Assist · Landerson · 1–1

⚽

47'

57'

⚽

G. Sa

Assist · I. Ba · 1–2

L. Semedo ↓ · Guilherme Schettine ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

V. Sousa ↓ · Bernardo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

65'

Maracás

Yellow Card

▮

73'

▮

Justin De Haas

Yellow Card

Alan

Yellow Card

▮

75'

79'

▮

Rodrigo Pinheiro

Yellow Card

D. Pinto

Assist · Alanzinho · 2–2

⚽

80'

81'

⇄

S. Elisor ↓ · Y. Zabiri ↑

Substitution 1

83'

▮

Lazar Carević

Yellow Card

A. Assis ↓ · M. Stjepanovic ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

Maracás

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Vasco Sousa

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Maracás

Red Card

▮

88'

▮

Mathias De Amorim

Yellow Card

90+3'

⇄

A. Joujou ↓ · Sorriso ↑

Substitution 2

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Moreirense and Famalicao drew 2–2. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 1.19. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 11, 8 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Y. Zabiri (21'), Guilherme Schettine (47'), G. Sa (57'), D. Pinto (80'). Maracás was sent off in the 88' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.22 units (Brier 0.227).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	1.75	—	62%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.22	—	44%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.74	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.88	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	49%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.61	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.16	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.66	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	70%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.10	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.31	—	65%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	90%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.10	—	24%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.26	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.38	—	27%	Cashed	+2.38	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.53	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.22u	+1% ROI

Moreirense vs Famalicao 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled