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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › Guimaraes — AVS

Predictions by Market: Guimaraes vs AVS

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Home · last 5 W W L L L
Kick-off
Fri 28 Nov · 20:15
4:0
Full-time
AVS
AVS
D D W W D Away · last 5
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques · Guimarães Referee Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GUI
64%
Best 1.75
Draw
24%
Best 3.48
Away Win · AVS
12%
Best 5.00
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
3.02
book 3.25 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +7.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (67%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.7%
Odds 3.87
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 12%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 33.1%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 20.6%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 57.5%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 42.5%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 12%
Odds 4.47
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 88%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
GUI – AVS @ 3.25
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →